Aftershock forecasts are a tool that scientists use to communicate aftershock risk to the public. These forecasts are time-dependent probabilities of future earthquakes risks and hazards and have been released by scientific organizations in the United States, New Zealand and Japan since the late 1970s.
Thus, it is important that these forecasts are communicated clearly so that citizens can prepare for aftershocks and so that policies are developed to mitigate earthquake hazard and risk.
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And let us know : have you ever received an aftershock forecast ? did you find it easy to understand ? Useful ?